Daytona Beach, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

161
FXUS62 KMLB 292054
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
354 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 353 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

- Patchy fog and stratus will affect portions of EC FL tonight.

- Breezy and warm conditions are expected on Friday.

- A weak cold front is forecast to stall across Florida peninsula
  this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 353 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

Tonight...Stratus and fog is again forecast to spread east from
the Gulf but veering low level flow out of the north to northeast
will keep the bulk of it west of Orlando. Have added patchy fog to
the forecast for Lake county and adjacent west Orange counties
with a chance for locally dense fog. Patchy fog also possible
across southern sections.

Thu-Fri...Surface high pressure pushes steadily offshore the mid
Atlc coast and then out to sea. In response, winds turn onshore
(NE to E) on Thu then out of the South on Fri. A tighter pressure
gradient Fri will produce breezy/gusty south winds 15-20 mph
gusting to 25 mph. Max temps Thu in the low to mid 70s along the
coast, warming to the upper 70s over the interior. The warmest day
will be Fri reaching the lower 80s interior and upper 70s coast.
Dry conditions continue.

Saturday (modified)... A low chance for showers Saturday as the
next cold front sinks across central Florida. Model guidance
continues to show the front stalling a tad farther north so low
confidence for measurable rainfall across Okeechobee and the
Treasure Coast counties. Otherwise, areas receiving measurable
rainfall will likely be limited to 0.1" or less. A large
temperature gradient will be in place from north to south with max
temps lower 70s Volusia coast to the lower 80s around Lake
Okeechobee.

Sun-Wed (modified)... High pressure aloft should promote
generally dry conditions into next week. However, there are some
hints of light precip lingering into Sunday along the weakened,
stalled frontal boundary. The front will wash out as weak ridging
develops over the area early to mid next week. Temperatures warm
above seasonal values, especially across the interior. High are
forecast in the upper 70s to low 80s west of I-95 each day while
ranging the mid to upper 70s closer to the coast.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 353 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

Tonight/Thu...High pressure shifts east of the waters tonight as
reinforcing high over the mid Atlc builds south. This will produce
a veering wind flow tonight, becoming NW-N then NE-E on Thu with
speeds 10 knots or less. Seas of 2-3 ft persist with occasional
seas up to 4 ft across the far offshore Volusia waters this
morning. Dry conditions prevail.

Fri-Mon...High pressure ridge axis shifts south of the local Atlc
waters Fri with increased S/SW flow up to 20 knots well offshore
into Fri night. May need an SCA for portions of the offshore
waters but seas are forecast to stay below 7 feet. A weak frontal
boundary will sag into the area Sat and is forecast to stall over
the area Sun-Mon. Light offshore flow (W/SW) 5-10 knots will
start the day Sat, turning onshore in the afternoon. Proximity of
weakening frontal boundary will keep winds light and variable
Sun-Mon 10 knots or less with a sea breeze near the coast each
afternoon. Seas 3-4 ft Friday build up to 5 ft offshore Fri
aftn/night, subsiding 2 ft nearshore Sat-Mon and mainly 3 ft
offshore. Isolated light showers are forecast Saturday, with
coverage lingering across the waters late in the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1235 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

VFR conditions through the period. Model guidance is hinting at
patchy fog developing once again late tonight and into early
Thursday morning. Light WNW winds today will veer onshore along
the coastal sites this afternoon with the development of the east
coast sea breeze. Winds will become light and variable overnight
before increasing to around 10 KT or less and becoming more
easterly by mid morning on Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  50  73  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  53  77  59  81 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  52  73  59  78 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  53  76  61  81 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  51  78  58  81 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  52  77  58  82 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  53  78  58  82 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  52  76  59  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kelly
AVIATION...Watson